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Oil Prices Soaring; Hops Shortage Threatens Beer Production

It’s hard to say which is more concerning to the average American: the price of oil nearing $100 per barrel, or a hops shortage portending a dramatic increase in the price of beer…

Commentary By: Richard Blair

As the price of oil rises to stratospheric levels, it’s a bit curious to me why the price of gasoline hasn’t kept pace. A year ago, when oil was trading in the sixty dollar range, consumers were paying close to $3 / gallon of gasoline. Today, with oil prices trading near $100 / barrel, drivers are still paying roughly $3 / gallon for gas. So, where’s the disconnect between the price of the raw material (oil) and the refined product (gasoline)?

Or, are we in for a major price shock shortly? I honestly have no idea. I quit trying to make sense of oil markets a long time ago. It is interesting to note, though, that in reporting the news of price spikes today, ABC World News Tonight anchor Charlie Gibson all but implied that the world has hit ‘peak oil’ - and that supply is unlikely to keep up with demand in the coming years.

Speaking of supply and demand, I ran into a very disturbing article tonight. Not only is oil production down, but so is hops production, and this could make for some very steep price hikes in the cost of your favorite brew (particularly for those who gravitate to craft brews, rather than the AnhauserBuschCoorsMiller swill). And, if you’re a homebrewer like ASZ’s good friend Brendan, the price shock and availability of premium hops varieties is likely to be even more pronounced.

It’s long been said that as long as Joe Sixpack has his beer available at a reasonable price, and as long as American Idol still plays on our TV screens, the average ‘murican just doesn’t give a shit about much of anything else. We’re all so worn out from makin’ the nut that, for most people, politics and world affairs are little more than background noise.

With the convergence of peak oil and peak beer, combined with the Screewriters Guild strike, Mr. Sixpack might actually become engaged in more worldly concerns, just in time for the 2008 elections.

Tuesday, November 6th, 2007 | Reddit |

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