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McCain’s Gift to the GOP, Palin the Time Bomb?

Why did John McCain pick Sarah Palin, anyway? Could he have had a long range goal of crippling the religious right? I’ll believe that if he goes back to his old self, the bipartisan pragmatist. Still, if Sarah Palin continues on her course, she will gain strength and then shoot herself and the extremist Christian mullahs in the foot, hopefully in 2012.

Commentary By: Steven Reynolds

There’s an interesting article by Rick Horowitz, reading the tea leaves as to just why John McCain gave us Sarah Palin as his running mate on that dark day in September. The theory he puts forth is that the offering to the religious right in this country was more like a poison pill, that the Palin candidacy would show the extremists on the religious right how little their power can effect things. Here’s a bit of Horowitz’s speculation, from yesrick.com:

But from what John McCain did know, he had to realize that, eye-candy considerations aside, Sarah Palin was an embodiment — hell, a caricature! — of everything he couldn’t stand about the right-hand end of the Grand Old Party.

Put her on the ticket, and let her implode. Let her take the blame for scaring off the moderate Republicans and independents he’d have needed to have even a shot at winning. And if she should decide to spend the weeks after the coming debacle still blabbing away, so much the better. Every time she opens her mouth, she’ll make the Republican right look more and more wrong.

“They’ll be ruined for a generation!” he’s thinking. “That’s exactly what they deserve!”

Just a theory.

Would you rather believe he picked her because he actually thought she was qualified?

I’m not one to believe John McCain would denigrate his own ambitions in favor of teaching the extremists on the religious right a lesson. I think McCain and his team were ambitious and thought, informed by incompetence that rivals Bush, that Palin might energize the “base.” Be that as it may, Horowitz’s theory includes the notion that the religious right will fall because of Palin, and I’m not going to dispute that part of it.

Oh, sure, Palin may be able to help the GOP capture the Senate seat in Georgia for Saxby Chambliss by campaigning for him in Georgia, but her critics in alaska are already using her support of Chambliss the chickenhawk. Here’s a bit from Matt Zency of the Anchorage Daily News:

The man who couldn’t bring himself to serve in the military said a man who left three limbs behind in war was a weakling who would turn the country over to terrorists.

Chambliss was a congressman during the 9-11 attacks. Congressional Quarterly’s “Politics in America 2006” noted that Congressman Chambliss “quipped that one route to security would be for local sheriffs to ‘arrest every Muslim that comes across the state line.’”

So there you have the fine American that Palin is trying to re-elect to the U.S. Senate.

Gov. Palin’s eldest joined the Army and has been deployed to Iraq. As a justifiably proud military mom, she might ask herself why she is using her conservative star power to support such a reprehensible Republican chicken hawk.

Zency does well to point out that Palin is supporting a chickenhawk running against a man who actually defended his country, Jim Martin, and who ran the ugliest campaign possible against Max Cleland back in 2002. Perhaps he could have more fully noted Palin’s neglect of her own state in her time spent in Georgia, and her likely future visits to Iowa, but that will come, no doubt. At least one poll is showing that Georgia race close, but I fully expect, and am not all that disappointed in the notion, that Saxby Chambliss will turn out the victor there.

I am not worried that Sarah Palin may help Saxby Chambliss win because I think first of all that Martin was a severe underdog, and that Chambliss was likely to win anyway. Second, though, in order for Palin to completely destroy the extremist religious right they’ve all got to get behind her, and they will only do so if she shows to them she can help in at least one win. Georgia is a good place for her on that score, where they are suspicious of Democrats in the first place, and where there’s a stong evangelical movement. I’m not all that upset. Hey, this win by Chambliss could keep Palin in the running for 2012, and that’s all to the good for Obama and the Dems.

No, I do not believe Sarah Palin has a chance at swaying centrist voters in this country, and she needs those centrist voters if she is to have any chance in 2012. I’ll also hope, though I’m not sure there are many left, that the moderate Republicans, the sane ones, work actively against her candidacy. At this time that means they end up backing Guiliani or Romney, with Jindal, Huckabee and Palin duking it out for the extreemist support. Those five factions are going to make things uglier in the GOP over the next few years than they are even now. And if the GOP in the house and Senate cooperate with as much gridlock as they can muster, the set-up for Obama couldn’t be better. No, the gridlock won’t work against Obama, but we’ll all be here to chronicle their attempts.

What we’re going to see in 2012 is an economy on the mend, a military situation aimed int he right direction towards Osama and the real terrorists, allies who are again willing to deal with the US and our policies, and the steadiness of leadership we need. What we’ll see among the Republicans is the kind of infighting and dirty politics, against each other (Palin has shown she doesn’t shrink from such tactics) that will remind Americans of the Bush Administration. That’s all to the good.

Monday, December 1st, 2008 | Reddit |

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